🟦 ECL – A Practitioner's View: Bridging the Gap Between Theory and Reality ðŸ’
When the Expected Credit Loss (ECL) framework under Ind AS 109 / IFRS 9 was introduced, it promised a more forward-looking approach to credit risk. It moved us from the comfort of incurred loss accounting to the rigour of expected loss provisioning. On paper, it was a leap in sophistication for NBFC’s. In practice, it has exposed a series of nuanced challenges that every Finance professional , risk manager and auditor in India has learned to navigate. 🔷 The reality on the ground ▪️ ECL models are data-heavy, assumption-driven and highly sensitive to change. Even a small variation in PD, LGD or EAD, or a mild tweak in macroeconomic scenarios, can trigger large swings in provisions. ▪️ It is not unusual today to see provisioning volatility even when delinquency benchmarks remain steady — a perplexing outcome for management and regulators alike. Our traditional delinquency ratios are periodic, backward-looking indicators, while ECL is continuous and forward-looking. The two rarely move...